November 2026 - Quantifying Risk
November 1, 2026
My 50+ years of investing taught me some valuable lessons. Among the most important are to stay diversified and manage risk. I keep in mind that a 50 percent decline, for example, requires a 100 percent recovery just to break even. Hedging against severe declines, along with analyzing the risk/reward ratios of individual investments, is the secret to superior investment results over the long term, even if the cost of downside hedges means giving up some upside. This is why the Sound Advice portfolio has not only outperformed the S&P 500 and other market indexes for more than 25 years, it has done so with lower risk, as measured by the Sharpe Ratio, a widely accepted method used to quantify risk by comparing the investment return over a period of time to the volatility that investors experienced along the way.
Risk is one of the most elusive factors in investing. Even if considered by many investors, it is not something they usually evaluate. An investment may seem risky or safe, but how do we really know?